Future Rock Legends predicts the 2010
Rock and Roll Hall of Fame nominees

Update: The official 2010 Rock Hall Nominees have been announced.

Future Rock Legends forecasts which of today's artists will be the next generation's Rock & Roll Hall of Famers by using a combination of historically predictive criteria, user votes, and nomination patterns. The official nominees are determined by the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Foundation's 31-member Nominating Committee and typically are finalized in mid-September.

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Future Rock Legends predicts the following nine eligible artists will be on the 2010 ballot:

• Beastie Boys - Metallica held the highest induction chances score of any artist on this website until they were inducted earlier this year. Who holds that distinction now? That's right, the Beastie Boys. The only hesitation here is that we still haven't reached the 25th anniversary of their hip hop debut License to Ill, but that didn't stop the Committee from nominating them in 2008.
  Current Induction Chances: 81%
  
  
• The Stooges - The Stooges first nomination came back in 1997 when they were on the ballot with another first time nominee, Black Sabbath. The Stooges have missed out on induction the first seven times they have been nominated, but can they break through on their eighth nomination like Sabbath did? For what it's worth, there is no rock artist who has been eligible longer than The Stooges with higher induction chances.
  Current Induction Chances: 65%
  
  
• Red Hot Chili Peppers - RHCP are the clear favorites from the newly eligible artists to be nominated. They are one of the rare artists who were able to simultaneously achieve mass popularity and critical acclaim. Flea gave the induction speech for Metallica this year, so the Chili Peppers should be fresh in the minds of the Rock Hall nominators.
  Current Induction Chances: 76%
  
  
• Stevie Ray Vaughan - It is difficult to find anyone willing to argue that Stevie Ray Vaughan should not be inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. We suspect the same is true for the Nominating Committee members, and that last year's snub was simply a function of seniority, with Jeff Beck getting the guitar virtuoso slot.
  Current Induction Chances: 52%
  
  
• Deep Purple - This year, Metallica used the hoopla surrounding their induction to highlight a few artists that influenced their career, that have so far been overlooked by the Rock Hall. Deep Purple are one of the bands mentioned by Metallica that the Nominating Committee have seriously considered in the past, so look for the Rock Hall to fill the metal slot on the ballot with one of its pioneers. (Deep Purple also currently have the highest fan support for induction on this website -- 94% of voters believe they will evenutally be inducted).
  Current Induction Chances: 57%
  
  
• Chic - Is there any reason to think Chic won't be nominated again? They have been nominated the past four years in a row, indicating the current Nominating Committee's strong support isn't likely to wane.
  Current Induction Chances: 48%
  
  
• Donna Summer - The "Queen of Disco" is enjoying a resurgence as of late, and another Rock Hall nomination seems likely this year. (As we noted last year, the Rock Hall always nominates at least one woman or woman-fronted band.)
  Current Induction Chances: 56%
  
  
• The "5" Royales - There will undoubtedly be a spot or two reserved on the final ballot for artists who got their start in the 1950's or 60's. This year we think the "5" Royales will get another chance after missing out on induction in 2002 and 2004.
  Current Induction Chances: 38%
  
  
• Joe Tex - Who wrote the bio for Joe Tex over at allmusic.com? That would be Dave Marsh, the veteran Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Nominating Committee member. ("His raspy-voiced, jackleg preacher style also laid some of the most important parts of rap's foundation. He is, arguably, the most underrated of all the '60s soul performers associated with Atlantic Records...") Tex was previously nominated in 1998, 2006 and 2007.
  Current Induction Chances: 34%
  
  

The "Current Induction Chances" represent the artist's odds of ever being inducted into the Hall of Fame, as calculated by Future Rock Legends and its users.

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Bubbling Under

If we're going to be wrong, it will probably be because one of these artists made it to the ballot:

• Yes - We really wanted to find a spot for Yes in our predictions, but they just didn't make it. Just like how it works with the Nominating Committee.
  Current Induction Chances: 50%
  
  
• Sonic Youth - Sonic Youth deserve to be mentioned in this space every year until they're inducted.
  Current Induction Chances: 69%
  
  
• KISS - A long shot? You bet. But the Rock Hall may be looking for the attention a KISS induction would bring to highlight their 25th anniversary.
  Current Induction Chances: 58%
  
  
• Whitney Houston - Similar story to KISS, actually. She would bring an equal amount of star power and controversy to the proceedings.
  Current Induction Chances: 48%
  
  
• War - One of the three nominated artists who didn't get inducted last year.
  Current Induction Chances: 51%
  
  
• Tom Waits - Waits will get in eventually, right?
  Current Induction Chances: 62%
  
  
• Anyone from this list - Predict other artists at your own risk.

[Predictions posted September 5, 2009]

Artists are eligible for the Rock Hall 25 years after releasing their first record (anyone with a record released up through 1984). Future Rock Legends lists eligible artists by first year of eligiblity or alphabetically.

This site is not affiliated in any way with the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum or the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Foundation.

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